The numbers
PSE&G customers in New Jersey currently pay around $0.180/kWh on average. At the historical escalation rate of about 6.0% a year, that rate compounds quickly if it holds:
| Today | In 5 years | In 10 years | In 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.180 | $0.241 | $0.322 | $0.577 |
Projection based on New Jersey's historical rate escalation of 6.0%/yr, compounded annually. Not a guarantee โ actual future rates depend on regulatory decisions.
That's a 221% increase over 20 years if the trend continues โ meaning the same household usage that costs $180 today per 1,000 kWh would cost roughly $577 at that point.
What's actually driving the increase
New Jersey buys power through the PJM regional grid, where capacity auction prices have surged as data-center load surges across the region โ PJMโs own Independent Market Monitor has attributed roughly $9.3 billion of a $14.7 billion capacity-cost increase directly to data-center growth. PSE&G and other New Jersey utilities pass those regional capacity costs through to customer bills, and the state BPU has pushed for PJM market reforms to slow the increases.
New Jersey just became the 10th state to legalize permit-free plug-in solar โ Governor Sherrill signed the Garden State Balcony Solar Act on September 1, 2026, letting residents install up to 1,200W without a permit or utility approval once the law takes effect March 1, 2027.
How residents are fighting back
You can't vote down a rate case yourself, but you can reduce how much of your bill is exposed to it. New Jersey's S 2368 / A 4836 now allows a permit-free, no-utility-approval plug-in solar system up to 1200W โ effective March 1, 2027. Most plug-in systems this size don't qualify for net metering, so the strategy that actually works is maximizing self-consumption โ using the power as you generate it, rather than exporting it back to the grid at a rate that keeps rising anyway.
Bottom line
Newark rates are going up, and the drivers behind it โ PJM capacity costs driven largely by data-center demand growth โ aren't going away soon. Every kWh you generate yourself is a kWh permanently insulated from the next rate case.
Further reading
Sources
- Short-Term Energy Outlook โ U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Electricity Data (historical retail prices by state) โ U.S. EIA
- Electricity prices, demand to continue rising in 2026: EIA โ Utility Dive
- State Electricity Profiles (average prices & rankings by state) โ U.S. EIA
- Local Climate Data for Denver, CO (sunshine & temperature normals) โ National Weather Service (NOAA)
- PJM capacity prices hit record high as grid operator falls short of reliability target โ Utility Dive
- Amid high heat, power demand in PJM territory could set records โ Maryland Matters
- Population Growth Reported Across U.S. Regions (Vintage 2025 estimates) โ U.S. Census Bureau
- The Data Center Capital of the World Is in Virginia โ Governing