The numbers
Green Mountain Power customers in Vermont currently pay around $0.230/kWh on average. At the historical escalation rate of about 4.0% a year, that rate compounds quickly if it holds:
| Today | In 5 years | In 10 years | In 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.230 | $0.280 | $0.340 | $0.504 |
Projection based on Vermont's historical rate escalation of 4.0%/yr, compounded annually. Not a guarantee β actual future rates depend on regulatory decisions.
That's a 119% increase over 20 years if the trend continues β meaning the same household usage that costs $230 today per 1,000 kWh would cost roughly $504 at that point.
What's actually driving the increase
Vermont has been hit by an unusually high number of severe flooding and wind events in recent years, and Green Mountain Power has sought rate increases specifically to rebuild and harden storm-damaged infrastructure. Vermont already runs one of the cleanest grids in the country, but repair costs still land on customer bills.
Vermontβs grid is among the greenest in the U.S. thanks to hydro and other renewables, yet its residential electric rates are still well above the national average β proof that a clean grid doesnβt automatically mean a cheap one.
How residents are fighting back
You can't vote down a rate case yourself, but you can reduce how much of your bill is exposed to it. Vermont's S.202 now allows a permit-free, no-utility-approval plug-in solar system up to 1200W β already in effect. Most plug-in systems this size don't qualify for net metering, so the strategy that actually works is maximizing self-consumption β using the power as you generate it, rather than exporting it back to the grid at a rate that keeps rising anyway.
Bottom line
Burlington rates are going up, and the drivers behind it β severe-storm damage and grid rebuilding costs β aren't going away soon. Every kWh you generate yourself is a kWh permanently insulated from the next rate case.
Further reading
Sources
- Short-Term Energy Outlook β U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Electricity Data (historical retail prices by state) β U.S. EIA
- Electricity prices, demand to continue rising in 2026: EIA β Utility Dive
- State Electricity Profiles (average prices & rankings by state) β U.S. EIA
- Local Climate Data for Denver, CO (sunshine & temperature normals) β National Weather Service (NOAA)
- PJM capacity prices hit record high as grid operator falls short of reliability target β Utility Dive
- Amid high heat, power demand in PJM territory could set records β Maryland Matters
- Population Growth Reported Across U.S. Regions (Vintage 2025 estimates) β U.S. Census Bureau
- The Data Center Capital of the World Is in Virginia β Governing